Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.065310 2.375063 2.719345 3.131055 3.610912 4.153604 4.815394
2025-04-27 1.572849 1.977523 2.472456 3.125318 3.968330 5.026178 6.463619
2025-05-04 1.350572 1.803328 2.394185 3.227931 4.384048 5.945032 8.236785
2025-05-11 1.168425 1.636660 2.280269 3.239269 4.648606 6.669672 9.834175
2025-05-18 1.030897 1.504167 2.184225 3.246239 4.887749 7.369314 11.482375
2025-05-25 0.897673 1.356528 2.041598 3.155942 4.956002 7.806602 12.776057
2025-06-01 0.821483 1.282771 1.996645 3.203371 5.236016 8.600974 14.759412
2025-06-08 0.763084 1.228301 1.972657 3.276922 5.561980 9.506746 17.068344
2025-06-15 0.700821 1.159505 1.915948 3.285558 5.773244 10.237158 19.169842
2025-06-22 0.633312 1.074017 1.820899 3.213943 5.828633 10.689399 20.808961
2025-06-29 0.579022 1.005180 1.746334 3.168363 5.922676 11.220261 22.679938
2025-07-06 0.528097 0.936882 1.665130 3.099807 5.961741 11.645681 24.395662
2025-07-13 0.505302 0.922140 1.688436 3.251325 6.492559 13.209252 29.023432
2025-07-20 0.463185 0.867878 1.634051 3.248504 6.722039 14.217090 32.702142
2025-07-27 0.438851 0.844204 1.634523 3.355353 7.197802 15.836463 38.178037
2025-08-03 0.407227 0.802201 1.593057 3.367181 7.465393 17.033517 42.890774
2025-08-10 0.378737 0.763100 1.552460 3.374448 7.722719 18.251539 47.947022
2025-08-17 0.344448 0.708061 1.471839 3.280298 7.724486 18.845307 51.450799
2025-08-24 0.325698 0.683904 1.454589 3.329750 8.084780 20.412497 58.108378
2025-08-31 0.310691 0.666157 1.449219 3.406443 8.526649 22.278638 66.142633
2025-09-07 0.292121 0.638429 1.418018 3.415449 8.793609 23.720693 73.249584
2025-09-14 0.269718 0.599631 1.356873 3.340773 8.823319 24.500149 78.423365
2025-09-21 0.251136 0.567811 1.308738 3.293248 8.921276 25.500001 84.624719